Michigan vs. Michigan State odds, prediction, betting trends for Big Ten top-10 showdown

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Michigan vs Michigan State odds, prediction, betting trends for Top 10 Big Ten showdown

Michigan’s No.6 will travel to Michigan State’s No.8 in a top-10 showdown on Saturday.

Kick-off is scheduled for 12 noon. AND at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan. The game will be televised on FOX.

Michigan (7-0) is off to its best start since 2016 under Jim Harbaugh. The Wolverines continue to win with a punishing ground game led by Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum, and Aidan Hutchinson leading an improved defense. Michigan have won their last two visits to Spartan Stadium.

MORE: Jim Harbaugh faces a defining moment for the season

Michigan State (7-0) is the surprise team of the season under second-year coach Mel Tucker. Wake Forest running back Kenneth Walker III leads the country with 142.4 yards per game and has become a Heisman Trophy contender, and quarterback Payton Thorne continues to lead an underrated offense. The Spartans upset the Wolverines last year.

It is one of the most underrated rivalries in the country. In the last 38 clashes, the two teams have only been classified twice. Saturday will mark the 11th time in this streak that both are in the Top 25. And the last 22 games have resulted in 11 wins on each side.

MORE: Walker, Hutchinson named SN All-Americans midseason

Both teams weren’t ranked to start the season, so suffice it to say that the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy is looming more than ever in 2021. With that in mind, here’s everything you need to know about betting on the. Michigan-Michigan State game:

Michigan vs Michigan State Odds

  • Disseminate: Michigan -4.5
  • Above / Below: 50.5
  • Moneyline: Michigan -210, Michigan State -168

Three trends to know

– Michigan State has been the underdog in all six games since Harbaugh took over in Michigan. The Spartans are 3-3 S / U and 4-2 ATS in those games.

YEAR DISTRIBUTE RESULTS BLANKET
2015 UM -7 MSU 27-23 MSU
2016 MU 24.5 UM 32-23 MSU
2017 MU -10 MSU 14-10 MSU
2018 UM -7 UM 21-7 MU
2019 MU -13.5 UM 44-10 MU
2020 MU -21.5 MSU 27-24 MSU

– Michigan have won the last two games at Spartan Stadium. The Wolverines are 6-1 ATS this season. Michigan is 18-4 S / U as a road favorite under Harbaugh.

– This is the fifth meeting with the two teams in the Top 10 AP. The Spartans are 3-1 in these clashes, which took place between 1956-64.

MORE: Top 25 ATS picks for Week 9

Three things to watch out for

Getty Images

Breathtaking football. Both teams are going to want to hammer the racing game. Michigan is averaging 246.5 yards per game behind Haskins and Corum. Michigan State is averaging 200.4 with Walker. The defenses are almost mirror images against running. The Wolverines have limited the Spartans to under 60 rushing yards in four of the last six games, but Michigan State has won two of those games nonetheless.

Michigan State’s Deep Threat Receivers. Thorne has been successful in the vertical passing game with Jayden Reed (20.8 yards per catch) and Jalen Nailor (18.9). The Wolverines couldn’t stop the ball deep in last year’s loss, but they have a new defensive coordinator in Mike Macdonald. The opposing quarterbacks have a 55.4% completion percentage against the Wolverines, and Hutchinson and David Ojabo combined for 10 sacks. Will Thorne have enough time to push the ball into the field while keeping an eye on Michigan safety Daxton Hill?

Will Harbaugh let go? Michigan State, meanwhile, has the worst passing defense in the Big Ten. Will that prompt Harbaugh to let Cade McNamara, who averages 17 attempted passes per game, pitch earlier in the game to soften the defense? Will first-year quarterback JJ McCarthy see a few more reps? Cornelius Johnson (20.1 ypc) and Daylen Baldwin (18.2) can also go down the field, but Michigan State has one of the best safeties in the country with Xavier Henderson.

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Stat that matters

The Spartans are 117th nationally in yards per game (70.3). In a game of this magnitude, it shows. Michigan has made just four turnovers this season as well, so it’s up to Michigan State to limit those costly penalties and create two to three home turnovers in order to surprise.

Michigan vs Michigan State prediction

There’s a reason these two schools don’t like each other. It’s practically the same team. It will depend on which team sets up that racing game early, and it’s up to Michigan to stay focused around McNamara on the road. It happened with quick starts in Wisconsin and Nebraska, and if Michigan can do it again, they should be able to take over in the second half. Strange things have happened in this rivalry in the past, but the Wolverines have overcome it in a thriller that lives up to expectations.

Final score: Michigan 29, Michigan 23


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